Indonesia is facing an intense and potentially prolonged dry season in 2026, with authorities and academics warning of blistering heat, agricultural threats, and a possible “Godzilla” El Niño phenomenon.
The nation’s weather authority stated that as of late April, multiple regions were already in the dry period, with temperatures surpassing 36°C in parts of North Sumatra, Banten, and Aceh.
A Longer, Hotter Dry Spell
According toIndonesia’s official weather agency, over 57% of the country’s seasonal zones will experience a longer-than-normal dry season. The peak is expected in the coming months.
By late April, monitoring stations had recorded blistering highs: 36.8°C in Medan, 36.2°C in Ciputat, and 36.0°C in Deli Serdang.
The agency predicts that most regions will enter the dry period between April and June 2026.
“The main impacts of a strong El Niño are rising air temperatures and reduced rainfall, potentially triggering a prolonged dry season that could shift from October to December,” said Prof. Kuswaji Dwi Priyono, Muhammadiya Surakarta University.
‘Godzilla’ El Niño and Regional Risks
Adding to concerns, an academic from Muhammadiya Surakarta University has flagged a 70% chance of a potent El Niño developing by mid-2026.
Dubbed “Godzilla” informally to describe its extreme strength, this phenomenon — marked by warming Pacific sea surfaces — could slash rainfall across the archipelago.
The eastern part of the country, being nearer to the Pacific, is considered the most at risk for severe drought and scorching heatwaves.
Beyond crop failures and water shortages, experts warn of health risks for children and the elderly.
Mitigation advice includes reforestation, water conservation, and rainwater absorption projects.
Source: cnbcindonesia, detik news, UMS News
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